How to Handicap College Bowl Games (pt 1)
With 32 College Bowl Games spread through January 8th, many handicappers are putting in extra hours.
While some suggest treating these games just like any other, there are two good reasons to spend some extra time studying these match-ups.
First, games that are televised over the holidays have more “public” money bet on them, giving the studious player the opportunity to gain an extra edge.
Second, there are a number of factors that cause many of these games to play out differently from the regular season, giving yet more value to professionals.
“Technical handicapping” is a method of looking for statistical trends without giving too much weight to the teams themselves. This method has previously proved very successful for Bowl Games.
In the past four years, underdogs getting more than 7 points have gone 25-10-1, or 71.4% against the spread. However, be careful not to blindly bet a technical trend that has done well in the past.
More people are discovering these angles and betting into them, so if everyone has the same idea, the line eventually becomes more efficient (e.g. a +12 dog in years past may now only be +8), pushing the trend towards 50% going forward.
(more handicapping advice tomorrow)
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GOLDEN RULE – GET THE BEST PRICE !!!
Remember to get the best lines on College Football you don’t have to search all over the place – simply head over to PinnacleSports who are betting at -105 to each game instead of the online bookmaker average of -110.
Those 5 percentage points per game are usually enough for most “Average Joes” to turn a profit over a weekend – so even if you think that you are betting for fun – why not make some beer money with it?
Add comment December 14th, 2006