Archive for November 28th, 2008

Money Back Betting Specials on Premier League Football (Nov 29-30)

English Premier League Football Money Back Special BetsHere’s a round-up of the latest special betting offers at online sportsbooks for this weekend’s English Premier League football. These offers pay out surprizingly often, and there’s nothing like a little added betting insurance as three possible outcomes from your bet (win, loss or stake-back) is far better than just two!

To take advantage of these offers we recommend you have active sportsbook accounts with a good range of bookmakers so you can pick and choose where to place your bets. For detailed reviews and ratings on each online sportsbook, visit BookieLabRat.com or GoonersGuide.com.

Click to visit BetFred BookmakerDemolit10n Derby  –  Man City v Man Utd – Sunday 30th November

If Robinho or Wayne Rooney score the last goal of the game in the Manchester Derby on Sunday, BetFred will refund all losing first/last goalscorer, correct score and scorecast bets as a free bet.
Maximum refund is £100 (or your currency equivalent) per customer.

Click to visit BetFred BookmakerLe Incredible Sulks  –  Chelsea v Arsenal – Sunday 30th November

If Nicolas Anelka or William Gallas score the last goal of the game in the Chelsea v Arsenal game on Sunday, BetFred will refund all losing first/last goalscorer, correct score and scorecast bets as a free bet. Maximum refund is £100 (or your currency equivalent) per customer.

Click to visit Irish sportsbook BoyleSport.comSunday Saver   –  Man City v Man Utd  and Chelsea v Arsenal 

If a goal is scored in second half injury time in the Chelsea v Arsenal Premier League match on Sunday, BoyleSports will refund all losing single first/last/anytime goal scorer, correct score and scorecast bets on BOTH Man City v Man Utd AND Chelsea v Arsenal matches. Maximum refund €300 or currency equivalent per customer.

Click to visit Victor Chandler bookmaker (VCBet.com)Don’t Hit the Bar!  –  All Football Markets

Place a five-fold or upwards on ANY football markets and if you have only ONE losing selection VCBet will refund your stake as a free bet. Max refund £100 or currency equivalent.

Click to visit PaddyPower.com our favourite Irish bookieC-Red-it Card!

Man City v Man Utd – Sun 1.30pm SS1
Chelsea v Arsenal – Sun 4pm SS1

If any player is shown a red card in either match Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st/last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match. Max refund €300/£200 per customer.

Click to visit top Australian sportsbook Canbet.comManchester City v Manchester United – Sunday, 30 November

If your bet loses and a penalty kick (a direct free kick from the penalty mark) is awarded during the first half of this match, Canbet will refund your bet (Correct Score Only).  Maximum bonus is £50 (€65)…enter the promotional code: EPL30NOV1

Click to visit top Australian sportsbook Canbet.comChelsea v Arsenal  – Sunday, 30 November

If your bet loses and Emmanuel Adebayor scores the first goal of the match, Canbet will refund your bet (Correct Score Only).  Maximum bonus is £50 (€65)…enter the promotional code: EPL30NOV2

Click to visit top rating Bet365 Bookmaker nowBet365 Bore Draw Offer

Place a pre-match correct score, double result or scorecast bet on ANY FOOTBALL MATCH and Bet365 will refund losing stakes if the match finishes 0-0.

Add comment November 28th, 2008

NFL Betting strategy during winter weather

NFL Betting in cold weather - any opportunities to beat the bookie? Into NFL Betting? Know what you should be taking into account if the weather’s crap? Check out this posting on the latest betting tips and advice from the team at Bodog Sport.

 

While it’s important to get a handle on every factor affecting your bet, there’s no angle square NFL bettors overvalue more than weather. This is especially true when the season starts getting long in the tooth as snow, freezing rain, and high winds start changing the way the game is played on the field.

Don’t get me wrong – weather does matter – it’s just you shouldn’t overreact and rush to the window every time a flurry might fall on Ben Roethlisberger’s helmet. Oddsmakers and sharps are both expecting you to overreact so they can take advantage of the public money that inevitably moves the line or total in one direction or another for no good reason.

Make sure to handicap the game the same way you normally would. Don’t automatically take the under or bet on the “cold weather team” just because there’s a chance of snow, especially if you notice the number is already on the move.

Get an actual weather forecast from a local news station or a meteorologist. Suzy Kolber and Sal Paolantonio aren’t your regular Brick Tamland; the mainstream sports media often plays up cold weather to create a narrative prior to kickoff. Tune in to Channel 6 for an unbiased view of the weather unless you live in Wisconsin, where the weather report will most definitely focus on the Packers game.

Don’t overestimate the effect winter weather has on the offensive side of the football while completely ignoring what it means for the defense. Public bettors often make this error, forgetting it’s the defense that has to react to the offense. Defenses that have the most trouble in winter weather are units that like to confuse the offense by blitzing often and running multiple quasi-zone formations. Those teams live and die by their ability to adjust on the fly to what the offense is doing.

NFL betting in the Bodog Sportsbook.

That having been said, it’s still about what the offense can do. A common misconception is NFL teams have no choice but to pound the run in inclement winter weather, so a good running game is the key to making money for bettors. While that’s true if you’re looking at an outright blizzard, teams with offensive balance have better success in winter weather because of their ability to keep the defense honest.

Defensive strategy during cold weather is to take something away from the offense, preferably the run. Teams that go either way are more dangerous because they disallow the defense from focusing on either the run or the pass. This is basic stuff, but it’s even more of a factor when players are losing their footing and the wind is blowing passes down left and right.

Balance on offense isn’t the only thing on which to hang your hat. You have to couple that approach with a team that is actually profitable. Teams fitting the mold (balanced and profitable) this season are the New York Giants, Tennessee Titans, and Washington Redskins: All figure to be solid plays when Mother Nature rears its winter head.

Looking at stadiums most affected by cold weather, there are no hard and fast trends that deliver a magic bullet. That’s because the role of the oddsmaker isn’t to accurately reflect the differences between opponents in the spread or total, it’s to accurately assess public perception of those differences. If squares think bad weather means the game is going under, that’s where the number is headed.

You could fund an entire college research department figuring out the cold weather trends in NFL stadiums. Taking a small extrapolation of games played in December or later in Green Bay, Cleveland, and Buffalo since 2005, nothing jumps out except the over trend. The Packers, Browns, and Bills are a combined 17-6 O/U during those circumstances over the time period, meaning there’s at least some benefit to avoid pounding the under at all costs when cold weather strikes.

 

American sports betting onlineFor more on popular US-friendly online sportsbook Bodog, check out the latest Bodog review onsite at BookieLabRat.com or compare Bodog with the other two most popular, safe offshore sportsbooks for American bettors.

Add comment November 28th, 2008


Calendar

November 2008
M T W T F S S
« Oct   Dec »
 12
3456789
10111213141516
17181920212223
24252627282930

Posts by Month

Posts by Category